Will Treasury Wine reap the rewards of China's demand for Aussie wine?

The value of wine sales to China rose 7% in the last 12 months – so what does this mean for the Treasury Wine Estates (ASX: TWE) share price?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

According to a Bloomberg article published yesterday, the value of wine sales to China rose 7% in the last 12 months to $1.2 billion as demand for Aussie wines continues to soar.

So while sales are increasing to our biggest trade partner, could this open the door for Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) to increase revenues and send its share price soaring?

What did the Bloomberg article say?

According to the article, data from Wine Australia showed that the value of Australian wine exports to China rose to a new high, increasing 7% to $1.2 billion for the 12 months to 30 June 2019.

However, the overall volumes to China fell 16% as demand for cheaper varieties declined, in line with a broader global trend, and demand for premium Aussie labels increased.

Bloomberg reported that Australian labels grew in popularity on United States (US) wine lists, with export values rising 2% to $423 million while the value of Aussie exports to the United Kingdom (UK) fell 3% to $373 million.

China remains by far our biggest export market for wine, followed by the US, UK, Canada and New Zealand.

The Wine Australia data reported by Bloomberg showed that the total value of Australian wine exports grew by 4% to $2.86 billion, well short of last year's 20% increase.

Overall export volumes fell 6% during the year while it was the $100–$200 per bottle premium range that grew 102% as the fastest-growing category, while the $50–$100 per bottle price bracket declined by 17%.

What does this mean for Treasury Wine Estates?

Given the Aussie winemaker has many premium labels within its range, there is a chance we could see this higher Chinese demand flow through to its results in the August reporting season.

A strong earnings result would be a good boost for the Treasury Wine Estate share price, with the company's share price underperforming the S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) index as the Aussie market enjoyed its best start to the year since 1991.

The Treasury Wine Estate share price is up 11% for the year, which amounts to just under half of the ASX 200's 20.4% gain since the beginning of January.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Smiling man with phone in wheelchair watching stocks and trends on computer
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

Another good session is expected for Aussie investors today. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.
Opinions

If I were 40, I'd buy these ASX shares in 2024 for the long-term

These investments look very compelling to me as buy-and-hold investments.

Read more »

Young woman in yellow striped top with laptop raises arm in victory
Broker Notes

Buy this ASX 300 stock for 20% upside and a 6% yield

Analysts at Bell Potter think investors should be buying this stock before it's too late.

Read more »

IPO written in dark blue with a yellow background.
Financial Shares

ASX fintech stock backed by Mastercard slumps 9% on debut

Meet the ASX's newest fintech company.

Read more »

A young woman smiles as she rides a zip line high above the trees.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

ASX investors kicked off the trading week in style today.

Read more »

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »

A businesswoman exhales a deep sigh after receiving bad news, and gets on with it.
Share Fallers

Why Bell Financial, IPD, Megaport, and Resolute Mining shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Person pointing at an increasing blue graph which represents a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Liberty, Lovisa, Novonix, and SG Fleet shares are storming higher today

These shares are starting the week strongly. But why? Let's find out.

Read more »