Feeble CPI data has investors upping bets on an RBA rate cut within months

What are the best shares to buy ahead of an RBA rate cut?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This morning the Australian Bureau of Statistics revealed that total consumer price index (CPI) inflation over the quarter to March 31 2019 went nowhere or 0% compared to the prior quarter ending December 31 2018.

Compared to the prior corresponding quarter March 31 2018 total CPI lifted a feeble 1.3%. On a "weighted median average' basis the two reads came in 0.1% and 1.2% higher for the two respective periods.

No wonder traders and currency speculators are upping bets on the Reserve Bank of Australia being forced to cut benchmark lending rates within the next couple of months in a bid to stimulate inflation that is grinding to a halt.

The RBA is mandated to achieve an inflation rate between 2%-3% 'over time' via monetary policy and is vulnerable to accusations it's asleep at the wheel unless it acts soon.

The S&P/ ASX2oo (ASX: XJO) hit a 11-year high today in response to the news as share market traders anticipate a rate cut will mean more liquidity finding its way into growth stock valuations and a yield hunt supporting traditional SMSF dividend favourites like Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) or Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC).

However, a better way to play the rate cut theme is to look to overseas earners that profit more as the Australian dollar weakens.

Somewhat serendipitously the leading healthcare shares have fallen in value recently, despite them earning nearly all their profits in U.S. dollars. As such at the top of my shopping list would be the likes of Cochlear Ltd (ASX: COH) or ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD).

Tom Richardson owns shares of Cochlear Ltd. and ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. and ResMed Inc. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
Record Highs

17 ASX 200 shares that smashed new record highs on Tuesday

Do you own any of these lucky stocks?

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a huge Tuesday for ASX shares, with the index resetting its record high.

Read more »

A piggy bank on the cloud in the blue sky symbolising a record high share price.
Share Market News

Here's why Morgan Stanley says the record-high ASX 200 has more room to run

The top broker also thinks investors should prepare for a rotation out of ASX bank stocks in 2025.

Read more »

A business person holds a big balloon in front of their face.
How to invest

I'm fine with a stock market crash. You might be too

This article might leave you longing for a ride to the downside.

Read more »

Stock market chart in green with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Record Highs

Big news: ASX 200 hits new 8,400-point record

The ASX 200 has shot the moon this Tuesday.

Read more »

two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.
Growth Shares

How to maximise $10,000 by investing in 2 ASX growth shares

Here are my best growth ideas on the ASX right now.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Share Market News

What ASX 200 investors just learned from the RBA's interest rate minutes

Will ASX 200 Index investors get interest rate relief before Christmas?

Read more »

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Gold

Why are ASX gold shares rebounding today?

ASX investors are going for gold today.

Read more »