Down 29% in 2019: Is the Costa Group share price a bargain buy?

Is the Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX:CGC) share price in the buy zone after falling 29% in 2019?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It certainly has been a disappointing start to 2019 for the Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) share price.

Since the turn of the year the horticulture company's shares have lost over 29% of their value.

This was driven by a sudden deterioration in trading conditions late last year which meant the company fell well short of its guidance for the six months to December 30.

And while a recent improvement in conditions means that management has reiterated its earnings growth guidance of 30% for calendar year 2019, Costa's shares still trade closer to their lows than their highs.

Is it time to invest?

Whilst I wouldn't class Costa's shares as being dirt cheap, I think they are trading at an attractive level for patient long-term focused investors.

One broker that agrees with this view is Goldman Sachs. According to a note out of the investment bank, its analysts have reiterated their buy rating and $5.75 price target on the company's shares.

This price target implies potential upside of approximately 10% for its shares over the next 12 months. This increases to around 12.5% if you include its dividend.

Goldman reiterated its buy rating as it sees "continued value accretive growth capex projects driving double digit earnings growth over the next three years."

In addition to this, the broker believes the expansion of its international business in Morocco and China is a key driver of long term earnings growth and sees the company's ability to continually invest to diversify production and its product offering as a key competitive advantage.

In calendar year 2019 Goldman expects Costa to grow its earnings by 36% to 24 cents per share, which means that its shares are currently changing hands at 22x forward earnings.

I would agree that this is a fair price to pay for its shares and would rate them as a buy alongside rural property landlord Rural Funds Group (ASX: RFF) and supermarket giant Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET, COSTA GRP FPO, and RURALFUNDS STAPLED. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Woman in celebratory fist move looking at phone
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 60% in 2025

Analysts are tipping these shares to rise strongly from current levels.

Read more »

Broker Notes

10 of the best ASX shares to buy in 2025

Analysts think these shares are in the buy zone for investors in 2025.

Read more »

Emotional euphoric young woman giving high five to male partner, celebrating family achievement, getting bank loan approval, or financial or investing success.
Share Gainers

Why Bowen Coal, Droneshield, Mesoblast, and St Barbara shares are racing higher today

These shares are ending the week positively. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, Digico, KMD, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys right now.

Read more »

Broker Notes

Brokers say these ASX growth stocks are top buys

Analysts have good things to say about these shares this month.

Read more »

Share Market News

Bell Potter names 2 of the best ASX 300 stocks to buy in 2025

These could be best buys next year according to the broker.

Read more »