Why the MNF Group share price has been falling

Why I've all but hung up on MNF Group Ltd (ASX:MNF).

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Last month MNF Group Ltd (ASX: MNF) reported its half-year results for the period ending December 31 2018. Below is a summary of the results with comparisons to the prior corresponding half year.

  • Revenue of $98.1m, down 16%
  • EBITDA (operating income) of $9.8m, down 16%
  • Net profit of $3.1m, down 49%
  • Dividend of 2.1cps, down 51%
  • Earnings per share (EPS) of 4.18c, down 50%
  • FY19 guidance for EPS between 15c-16.4c
  • FY20 guidance for EPS between 20.4c to 22.4cps

The MNF Group share price fell around 10% on February 28 when it reported its full year results and I also sold down around 80% of my holding on the day unconvinced the group's valuation justifies a share price above $4.

In short, parts of its core business appear to be going backwards and I also remain unconvinced about the move into selling PennyTel mobile phone plans to older consumers in regional Australia.

As such I am kicking myself for not selling prior to the results and have decided to call time on MNF Group largely on valuation and operational outlook grounds. However, I do still think it has a strong founder-led management team and decent balance sheet.

The whole telecommunications, internet services and voice over internet sector has struggled recently with the likes of Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS), TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM) and Vocus Group Ltd (ASX: VOC) on the nose.

Of course MNF is primarily an online voice and software business rather than NBN-facing internet services provider, but at $3.95 the stock still looks expensive to me given its latest update and guidance that relies on a significant turnaround out to June 2020.

It may well go onto perform well, but for me there are better market-beating opportunities available elsewhere.

One place I might have a look is among the three companies named below…

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson owns shares of MNF Group Limited, TPG Telecom Limited, and Vocus Communications Limited. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended MNF Group Limited and Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended TPG Telecom Limited and Vocus Communications Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX All Ords share is diving 18% as inflation pain draws blood

This healthcare company delivered a trading update at its annual general meeting today.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Healius, Opthea, Peninsula Energy, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »

A worried man holds his head and look at his computer.
Share Fallers

Why Graincorp, Light & Wonder, Orica, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward representing the ASX tech share sell-off today
Share Fallers

Why Insignia, Light & Wonder, Mineral Resources, and Nuix shares are sinking today

These shares are having a difficult time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Endeavour, Global Data Centre, OFX, and Paladin Energy shares are dropping today

Why are these shares under pressure today? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man sits wide-eyed at a desk with a laptop open and holds one hand to his forehead with an extremely worried look on his face as he reads news of the Bitcoin price falling today on his mobile phone
Share Fallers

ASX 200 uranium stock alert: Paladin Energy shares just crashed 29%!

Paladin Energy shares are under intense selling pressure on Tuesday.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Champion Iron, Endeavour, Infomedia, and Resolute Mining shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Arcadium Lithium, Block, Jumbo, and Mineral Resources shares

These shares are ending the week in the red. Why are investors selling them?

Read more »