Results: Why the Domino's Pizza share price could drop lower today

The Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX:DMP) share price could come under pressure on Wednesday after its half year result fell short of expectations…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) share price will be one to watch on Wednesday after the pizza chain operator released a mixed half year result.

For the six months ended December 31, Domino's delivered global food sales growth of 14.6% to $1.43 billion and a 12.1% lift in earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to $108.3 million.

Revenue rose 23.7% to $702 million, underlying EBITDA rose 12.1% to $137.2 million, net profit after tax increased 8.4% to $68.2 million, and earnings per share came in at 80.2 cents per share.

What were the drivers of the result?

ANZ network sales grew 6.2% to $592.5 million during the half. This was the result of a combination of 13 new store openings and same store sales (SSS) growth of 3.5%. Although Domino's grew its market share in the pizza and fast food categories, management revealed that it had expectations to do better and has fallen short of internal targets.

Over in Europe the company's sales increased 17.4% to €349.9 million thanks to a 2.3% increase in SSS and the addition of 33 new stores. Management advised that its Benelux operations continue to lead their industry and the conversion of acquired Hallo Pizza stores in Germany have exceeded expectations, however its performance in France held back overall growth.

Pleasingly, the company's Japan segment returned to form during the half. It achieved sales growth of 9% to ¥22,936 million following a 4.8% lift in SSS and the addition of 31 new stores. The release explains that new management initiatives have materially grown unit economics and drove EBITDA growth of 34.3% on the prior corresponding period.

The positive performance in Japan and updated modelling in Belgium has led to the company increasing its future store outlook by 250 stores to 4,900 by 2025-2028.

What's next?

Management revealed that its sales have been positive in the first seven trading weeks of the second half, with SSS growth of 4%.

During the period 13 new organic stores have been constructed and opened for trading. However, new store builds are expected to be slightly lower than originally guided. It expects new store openings in the range of 200 to 215 this year.

Domino's expects SSS for the full year to be within guidance, but at the mid-to-lower end of its 3% to 6% range. As a result, full year EBIT is expected to be at the lower end of its guidance range of $227 million to $247 million.

Should you invest?

Overall, I thought this was a decent result from Domino's, but it appears to have fallen a touch short of expectations.

As I mentioned here, Goldman Sachs was expecting revenue of $661.3 million, EBITDA of $142.6 million, and net profit after tax of $74.1 million. Although the company beat on the top line, it appears to have missed on every other metric.

Although I think it could be a good long-term investment, I would suggest investors keep their powder dry for now and wait for the dust to settle on this result.

In the meantime, fellow quick service restaurant operator Collins Foods Ltd (ASX: CKF) or infant formula company A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) could be worth considering.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Collins Foods Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Collins Foods Limited and Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX All Ords share is diving 18% as inflation pain draws blood

This healthcare company delivered a trading update at its annual general meeting today.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Healius, Opthea, Peninsula Energy, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »

A worried man holds his head and look at his computer.
Share Fallers

Why Graincorp, Light & Wonder, Orica, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward representing the ASX tech share sell-off today
Share Fallers

Why Insignia, Light & Wonder, Mineral Resources, and Nuix shares are sinking today

These shares are having a difficult time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Endeavour, Global Data Centre, OFX, and Paladin Energy shares are dropping today

Why are these shares under pressure today? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man sits wide-eyed at a desk with a laptop open and holds one hand to his forehead with an extremely worried look on his face as he reads news of the Bitcoin price falling today on his mobile phone
Share Fallers

ASX 200 uranium stock alert: Paladin Energy shares just crashed 29%!

Paladin Energy shares are under intense selling pressure on Tuesday.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Champion Iron, Endeavour, Infomedia, and Resolute Mining shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Arcadium Lithium, Block, Jumbo, and Mineral Resources shares

These shares are ending the week in the red. Why are investors selling them?

Read more »