A2 Milk delivers strong half year result but softer outlook

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX:A2M) share price will be on watch on Wednesday following the release of its half year results…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price will be on watch this morning following the release of the dairy and infant formula company's half year results.

Here is a summary of how a2 Milk Company performed in the first half compared to the prior corresponding period:

  • Total revenue increased 41% to NZ$613.1 million.
  • EBITDA rose 52.7% to NZ$218.4 million.
  • Net profit after tax jumped 55.1% to NZ$152.7 million.
  • Basic earnings per share of 20.9 NZ cents, up 52.9%.
  • Operating cash flow of NZ$112.3 million.
  • Outlook: Strong revenue growth but lower EBITDA margin.

What were the drivers of this result?

The majority of the company's revenue was generated in the ANZ market. The ANZ business segment revenue increased 37.5% to NZ$418.4 million and EBITDA was up 64.9% to NZ$192 million.

Supporting this growth was its China segment, which saw its revenue rise 50.1% to NZ$171.7 million and EBITDA increase 41.6% on the prior corresponding period.

Once again it has been the company's infant formula products driving the majority of its growth.

During the first half group infant formula revenue increased 45.3% to NZ$495.5 million. This was driven by an 82.6% increase in China label revenue, which took its consumption market share in the country to 5.7%. In Australia the company has maintained its leadership position and grown its market share to 35.7%.

The company's Liquid Milk business had a solid half. Australian fresh milk revenue grew 11.7%, bringing its market share to 10.8%. In the United States the company's milk revenue more than doubled after its distribution network grew to over 10,000 stores.

What else happened in the half?

The company advised that it is now focused on delivering continued and significant growth through its step-changing strategic investment in consumer insight, brand development, and organisational capability.

This involves accelerating its investment in building brand equity through enhanced marketing campaigns in its key markets of China, US and Australia, as well as continued investments in R&D and further development of its intellectual property.

As a result, its investment in marketing in the first half increased by 75% to NZ$45.5 million. The rate of investment in marketing will increase further in the second half as the company increases in-market brand building activities.

Outlook.

According to the release, management expects group revenue growth in the second half to be broadly in line with the first half.

However, the increased investment in brand building in the second half is expected to push its second half EBITDA margins lower.

As a result, management expects its full year EBITDA as a percentage of sales to be approximately 31% to 32%. As a comparison, in the first half the company's EBITDA margin was 35.6%.

What now?

Although I thought this was yet another impressive half from a2 Milk, its outlook for the second half could weigh on investor sentiment today.

Whilst I feel that its investment in brand building is a smart thing to do and should support its long term growth, the market is often short sighted with such moves. As a result, I suspect there's a small chance its shares could drop lower when the market opens. Though it is worth noting that at the time of writing the company's NZ-listed shares are up 7%, so thankfully this doesn't appear to be the case.

Investors might want to keep an eye on Bellamy's Australia Ltd (ASX: BAL) shares today as well after a2 Milk's result demonstrated that demand for infant formula products remains strong.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

Sports fans looking at smart phone representing surging pointsbet share price
Growth Shares

Up 111% in six months, this soaring ASX share is backed to keep rising

One fund manager thinks this ASX growth share can continue its phoenix performance.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Growth Shares

These ASX growth shares are being tipped to smash the market

Returns of 14% to 68% could be on the cards for buyers of these shares according to brokers.

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could rise 50% to 70%

Analysts are predicting these stocks to rise materially from current levels.

Read more »

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Growth Shares

2 ASX 300 growth shares with 'strong momentum' this fund manager says are buys

These two stocks have plenty of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »

Rocket going up above mountains, symbolising a record high.
Growth Shares

2 high-growth ASX shares to buy now

Analysts at Bell Potter think these shares would be great picks for growth investors.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth stocks could rise 30% to 100%

Analysts think these shares are dirt cheap at current levels and have put buy ratings on them.

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
Growth Shares

Goldman Sachs loves these ASX 200 growth shares: Do you own them?

Why is the broker bullish on them? Let's find out.

Read more »

Happy work colleagues give each other a fist pump.
Growth Shares

2 super ASX growth shares to buy for huge returns

Analysts are feeling bullish about these shares. Let's see what they are saying about them.

Read more »