With its 11% yield, is the NAB share price a buy?

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX:NAB) share price offers a grossed-up dividend yield of 11%, is it a buy?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price currently offers a grossed-up dividend yield of 11.4%.

That's certainly an enticing yield isn't it? You could get a market-beating return from the yield alone if NAB keeps paying the same $1.98 per share annual dividend year after year.

In FY18 its dividend payout ratio was 94.1%, or 82.6% excluding the restructuring-related costs and customer-related remediation. Either way it's a high dividend payout ratio, but it is under 100% which is a good sign it could be sustainable.

The Royal Commission has unearthed a lot of aspects to the banking world of NAB, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) that were unsavoury. It has been a painful lesson for NAB, which cost $360 million in FY18.

However, despite all that, NAB reached a 10.2% CET1 ratio and the bank said it has a clear path to achieving APRA's unquestionably strong CET1 target of 10.5% by January 2020.

NAB revenue continues to grow, it was up 0.5% in FY18, which was important to offset a flat net interest margin (NIM) of 1.85%, the bank levy and growing home lending competition.

A key part to NAB's short-term profit plans is the reduction of its workforce which recognises the lessening need of bank branches. In FY18 NAB let go of 1,900 full time employees and it has an overall reduction target of 6,000 employees by FY20, which largely explains the $755 million restructuring costs NAB incurred last year.

The reduction of the workforce was probably needed, I can't remember the last time I stepped into a branch of my bank, but it's painful for the employees losing their jobs. NAB is expecting cumulative cost savings of at least $1 billion by 30 September 2020, it achieved $320 million of cost savings in FY18 alone.

Foolish takeaway

It's trading at under 11x FY19's estimated earnings, so it certainly looks attractive on paper. Whilst I'm not going to buy NAB shares yet I can understand why retiree or value investors would be interested at this price level. It all depends on how Australia's economy does over the next couple of years.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

This is the only ASX bank stock I'd keep in my portfolio

I think this is the only ASX bank stock which will storm higher this year.

Read more »

A businesswoman in a suit and holding a briefcase marches higher as she steps from one stack of coins to the next.
Bank Shares

Why experts think this ASX bank share can rise 58% in a year!

This bank has a lot of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for CBA shares

CBA could deliver impressive dividends in the next few years.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Dividend Investing

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

NAB shares historically pay two fully-franked dividends every year.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Which ASX bank has the biggest dividend yield?

Bank shares are popular for income. Here’s which one currently offers the biggest dividend yield.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Why NAB shares are slipping today despite a major business reset

NAB shares drift lower amid broader pressure on the banking sector.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares are climbing following UNITE update

The banking giant's UNITE strategy is gathering momentum.

Read more »

A woman wearing glasses has an uncertain look on her face as she bites her lips and holds her phone.
Bank Shares

ASX bank stocks: Buy, sell, or hold?

Here are the bank stocks to buy and the ones to avoid.

Read more »