Is the CBA share price in the buy zone?

Is the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) share price in the buy zone after its decline in 2018?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

In 2018 the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price was the best performer of the big four banks, albeit with a decline of just over 10% excluding dividends.

If you include Australia's biggest bank's $4.31 per share dividend, this decline is reduced to approximately 4.5%.

Which considering the negative impacts of the Royal Commission, revelations that it breached anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing laws, and the downturn in the housing market, isn't as bad as it could have been.

As a comparison, the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) share price fell 15%, the National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price dropped 19%, and the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price plunged 20% lower last year.

Should you buy Commonwealth Bank's shares today?

While I think that all bank shares are arguably in the buy zone today and worth considering if your portfolio doesn't already have meaningful exposure to the sector, Commonwealth Bank wouldn't be my first pick.

Based on current valuations and dividend yields, I would put Commonwealth Bank towards the back of the pile right now.

Instead, I would sooner buy the shares of Westpac and then ANZ Bank.

Westpac is my preferred pick due to the fact that its shares have fallen hard over the last 12 months and are changing hands at just under 11x earnings, 1.3x book value, and offer a trailing fully franked 7.5% dividend yield.

But ANZ Bank isn't far behind. Its solid business lending growth, low multiples, and generous dividend yield make it my next favourite. Its shares are trading at 11x estimated forward earnings, 1.2x book value, and offer a trailing fully franked 6.6% dividend yield.

When is the time to buy?

I feel that now is a good time to pick up shares whilst they are trading on lower than average multiples.

However, it is worth noting that the Royal Commission final report is due to be released on or before February 1. This may mean that bank shares trade in a holding pattern until the report has been released and recommendations have been made.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

What happened with ASX 200 bank stocks like CBA and Westpac in March?

Buying ANZ, NAB, Westpac or CBA shares? Here’s what happened with the big four banks in the war-addled month of…

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

This is the only ASX bank stock I'd keep in my portfolio

I think this is the only ASX bank stock which will storm higher this year.

Read more »

A businesswoman in a suit and holding a briefcase marches higher as she steps from one stack of coins to the next.
Bank Shares

Why experts think this ASX bank share can rise 58% in a year!

This bank has a lot of growth potential, according to experts.

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for CBA shares

CBA could deliver impressive dividends in the next few years.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Dividend Investing

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

NAB shares historically pay two fully-franked dividends every year.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Which ASX bank has the biggest dividend yield?

Bank shares are popular for income. Here’s which one currently offers the biggest dividend yield.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Why NAB shares are slipping today despite a major business reset

NAB shares drift lower amid broader pressure on the banking sector.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares are climbing following UNITE update

The banking giant's UNITE strategy is gathering momentum.

Read more »