Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) shares drop lower on disappointing trading update

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) share price has dropped lower following the release of a disappointing trading update at its AGM…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price has dropped lower in early afternoon trade following the release of its annual general meeting presentation.

At the time of writing the ecommerce company's shares are down 2%.

What was in the presentation?

The presentation included the results of its shareholder vote, a breakdown on its performance in FY 2018, and a trading update for the current financial year.

One thing that immediately jumped out at me was the result of the vote for chairman David Shafer's re-election.

Shareholders don't appear to have been pleased with the way Mr Shafer has been selling a considerable number of shares this year. A sizeable 17.3% of shareholders voted against his re-election.

What about FY 2019?

Kogan.com has had a mixed start to FY 2019 due to challenging market conditions in its Global Brands Product Division which contributed 18.3% of its Gross Profit in FY 2018.

In the first quarter the segment saw its revenue slide 27.4% on the prior corresponding period. Since then, things have deteriorated further. Segment revenue fell a massive 48.4% in October compared to the October 2017.

No mention was made in relation to improvements in November, so I suspect conditions remain tough.

One big positive, though, has been the performance of its Partner Brands Product Division which was responsible for 20.5% of its Gross Profit in FY 2018.

Revenue was up 73% in the first quarter and accelerated to 84.1% year on year growth in October.

The company's key Exclusive Brands Product Division, which represented 44.2% of its gross profit in FY 2018, has also been performing well in October. After a reasonably slow start to the year, year on year revenue growth accelerated to 38% during last month.

What does this mean for its margins?

Management advised that that its gross margin declined year on year during the September quarter, but rebounded in October to levels above the last financial year.

While this is a positive, it is worth noting that the company has seen its costs grow significantly, potentially offsetting this improvement.

Overheads, marketing, and employee costs have grown ahead of revenue, whereas variable costs have also "increased significantly year on year".

Should you invest?

Based on everything that management has said, unless there is a major improvement over the Christmas period, I wouldn't be surprised to see Kogan.com post flat earnings in the first half of FY 2019.

In light of this, I intend to continue avoiding Kogan.com until it either provides clear guidance or releases its half year results.

In the meantime, I would suggest investors looking for exposure to the retail industry consider Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP) or Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL).

Should you invest $1,000 in CSL right now?

Before you buy CSL shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and CSL wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bapcor. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Super Retail Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Block, Corporate Travel Management, Judo, and Zip shares are sinking today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Share Fallers

These were the worst-performing ASX 200 shares in April

These shares were out of form last month. But why?

Read more »

Man waiting for his flight and looking at his phone.
Travel Shares

Corporate Travel shares crash 11% as Trump tariffs bite

Trump’s tariffs are roiling Corporate Travel shares on Friday.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, DroneShield, Resolute Mining, and Woodside shares are falling today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Appen, Bank of Queensland, Novonix, and Ora Banda shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, Catalyst Metals, Northern Star, and Pact Group shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a tough time on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Bravura, Pantoro, and Telix shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Generation Development, Oneview, and PWR shares are falling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »