Federal Government declares the mining boom is far from over

Resource stocks are once again outperforming the banks and the broader market today and this trend may be more enduring than what many investors believe.

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Resource stocks are once again outperforming the banks and the broader market today and this trend may be more enduring than what many investors believe.

The share price of BHP Billiton Limited (ASX: BHP), South32 Ltd (ASX: S32), Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) are making gains when the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) index slumped 0.7% into the red in late afternoon trade.

These stocks are getting a lift from higher commodity prices and comments by federal Resources Minister Matt Canavan, who is expecting commodity exports to hit a new record high in FY19.

The federal government expects commodity exports to hit $251.8 billion with the strongest growth coming from commodities linked to energy consumption such as liquefied natural gas (LNG), lithium and thermal coal, reported the Australian Financial Review.

This figure is well above FY18's $226.7 billion and the rising US dollar is providing a further tailwind for our exports.

But it's probably growth in LNG that's taking the spotlight as the government is forecasting a 55% surge in LNG exports in the two years to FY20 thanks to a ramp-up in production from eight Australian gas projects and stronger than expected global demand for our gas.

Shareholders in coal producers including South32 and Whitehaven Coal Ltd (ASX: WHC) will also be cheering our government's prediction of another record year with exports of thermal coal forecast to hit $25 billion in FY19 after reaching a record $23 billion in the last financial year, although the price is expected to pull back in FY20.

There's good news too for our lithium exporters like Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS). Exports of the battery ingredient will break through the $1 billion mark for the first time in 2020 after rising seven-fold to $780 million in FY17, noted the AFR.

We can thank the rise of the electric vehicle for this boom as electric vehicle sales will hit 40 million a year in 2027 from 2 million a year in 2017, according to the Australian Department of Industry.

The good times in the resources sector looks well placed to keep rolling on and I am overweight on the sector at the expense of the big banks, like Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB).

At some stage, there will be a turning point, but right now I can't see anything that will persuade me to rotate my positions.

Having said that, resources aren't the only game in town. There are other blue-chip stocks that are well placed to outperform in FY19.

The experts at the Motley Fool have picked three of their favourite blue-chips for the year and you can find out what these are by following the free link below.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited, National Australia Bank Limited, South32 Ltd, and Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Two miners standing together.
Resources Shares

Is it time to buy beaten-up ASX 200 mining shares?

Has a verdict even been reached?

Read more »

A miner holding a hard hat stands in the foreground of an open cut mine
Resources Shares

Fortescue shares in focus as Twiggy named in ExxonMobil lawsuit

The company founder has welcomed the proceedings.

Read more »

Businessman using a digital tablet with a graphical chart, symbolising the stock market.
Resources Shares

Can the Mineral Resources share price stage a comeback in 2025?

Can the diversified miner claw back losses from last year?

Read more »

A miner reacts to a positive company report mobile phone representing rising iron ore price
Resources Shares

Why this $2 billion ASX 200 mining stock is surging 7% today

ASX 200 investors are sending the $2 billion mining stock soaring on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

As the Rio Tinto share price drops, should I buy more?

Is now the time to pounce on the miner?

Read more »

A cool man smiles as he is draped in gold cloth and wearing gold glasses.
Gold

Good as gold: 5 best ASX 200 gold shares of 2024

It was a glittering year for the precious metal and these stocks certainly benefitted.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Resources Shares

What happened to the Fortescue share price in 2024?

Let’s dig into what happened to affect the massive miner.

Read more »

Two miners standing together.
Resources Shares

Will African iron ore make or break Rio Tinto shares?

Here’s what one expert thinks of the African expansion.

Read more »