House price falls accelerate in Melbourne & Sydney

The Corelogic results for September show house prices are falling quicker across major cities.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The September CoreLogic home value index has been released today and it showed that national dwelling values dropped by 0.5% during the past month.

National dwelling values have fallen by 2.7% over the past year.

Sydney has continued to fall, with September's change showing a drop in price of 0.6%. Sydney is down 1.5% for the quarter and down 6.1% over the past year.

Melbourne was the worst-performing city in September, it fell by 0.9% in the month and it's down 2.4% over the past three months. Over the past year it's down 3.4%, although Melbourne started its decline after Sydney.

However, other cities managed to post growth. Brisbane prices grew by 0.2% for the month, the Hobart price increased by an impressive 0.4% and Canberra prices went up 0.3%.

Rounding out the other cities, Perth went down by 0.6%, Darwin declined by 0.4% and Adelaide decreased by 0.2%.

Regional locations continue to outperform capital cities. The combined capital city price declined by 0.6% in September, but the combined regional price decreased by only 0.2%. Over the past 12 months the combined capital index showed a decline of 3.7% whilst the combined regional price went up 1.2%.

Corelogic's head of research, Tim Lawless, said "While the housing market downturn is well entrenched across Darwin and Perth where dwelling values remain 22.1% and 13.2% lower relative to their 2014 peak, Sydney and Melbourne are now the primary drag on the national housing market performance."

However, Corelogic did point out that the national price decline of 2.7% over the past year is hardly a crash and it is slower than the 2010 to 2012 period of decline.

The Royal Commission's inspection of the banks appears to be having an effect on the market. Would-be borrowers are finding it harder to get approval for loans, they could face tougher verification of expenses and may not be able to get re-financing from Commonwealth Bank of Australia(ASX: CBA)Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ).

Foolish takeaway

We aren't many months away from some of the more optimistic overall declines of 10% predicted by some in the media. However, no official recommendations have even come from the Royal Commission yet and interest rates are likely to keep rising due to the US Fed. We could be in for another year or two of declines.

At the moment it seems like a 15% overall fall is more likely than 10% considering the amount of interest-only loans that are due to turn into higher repayments over the next two to three years.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Happy man at an ATM.
Bank Shares

These ASX bank shares are cashing in on new highs today

Bank stocks are still in vogue.

Read more »

a small child carrying a brief case tries to reach an elevator button outside closed elevator doors.
Bank Shares

Why this top fundie is 'happy to be short' on CBA shares

CBA shares have soared more than 50% in a year, but this fundie thinks the party’s about over.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Bank Shares

Should I dump my holding in CBA shares and buy an ASX S&P 500 tracker instead?

Deciding between CBA and an S&P 500 tracker is a no-brainer for me.

Read more »

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Bank Shares

CBA and Klarna: What a $1.8 billion IPO windfall could mean for shareholders

The bank's ongoing rise continues to defy the bearish crowd.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in Westpac shares 12 months ago is now

Would you be smiling now if you invested in the big four bank a year ago? Let's see.

Read more »

a woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.
Bank Shares

These 3 headwinds make CBA shares a sell: expert

This leading expert believes now is a good time to take profit on CBA shares. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Are ANZ shares still in the buy zone near 6-month highs

Bank stocks have rallied hard in 2024.

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Is this the $350 million reason the Big Four bank shares are falling today?

It’s another challenging day for banks.

Read more »