Speedcast International Ltd (ASX:SDA) shares smashed on guidance downgrade

The Speedcast International Ltd (ASX:SDA) share price has been smashed after a surprise earnings guidance downgrade…

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The Speedcast International Ltd (ASX: SDA) share price has been the worst performer on the All Ordinaries on Tuesday with a massive 35% decline to $4.35.

Although its shares have rebounded slightly, they still sit 32% lower at $4.55 in afternoon trade following the release of its half year results.

Here's how Speedcast performed compared to the prior corresponding period:

  • Revenue grew 24% to US$304.9 million.
  • Underlying EBITDA increased 14% to US$60.4 million.
  • EBITDA margin narrowed by 180 basis points to 19.8%.
  • Underlying NPATA grew 37% to US$21.1 million.
  • Net debt increased to US$430 million.
  • Fully franked interim dividend of 240 Australian cents.
  • Outlook: Underlying FY 2018 EBITDA to be in the range of US$135 million to US$145 million.

Overall, I thought this was a solid first half performance from Speedcast with three out of its four divisions delivering robust growth compared to the prior corresponding period.

The Maritime division grew revenue by 10% to US$106 million. This was driven primarily by high growth in its Commercial Shipping business from increased VSAT activations and some bandwidth growth in its Cruise business.

EEM revenue grew organically by 29% in the first half to US$75 million. The catalyst for this positive performance was the first phase of the NBN contract in Australia and growth in wholesale voice activity.

Speedcast's Government division saw revenue increase 17% on a pro forma basis. This was driven by the Ultisat acquisition and increased US defence spending.

The Energy division was the only disappointment in the first half. Energy revenue fell 17% to US$76 million due to the delayed recovery in the offshore energy sector. This resulted in higher than expected industry churn and pricing pressure. The division was also impacted by delays in certain projects and one-time customer effects.

Outlook.

While the Energy division's performance was disappointing, it was the company's outlook that sent shareholders to the exits in a hurry today.

Source: Company presentation

As shown above, management provided underlying FY 2018 EBITDA guidance in the range of US$135 million to US$145 million. This is down from guidance of ~US$155 million reiterated as recently as the end of May.

Should you invest?

Based on today's result and its earnings per share of 8.8 cents, Speedcast's shares are trading at approximately 25x annualised earnings. While that may prove to be fair for the company, I intend to wait and see how it performs in the second half and the guidance management gives for FY 2019.

In the meantime, I would sooner look at the shares of industry peers Superloop Ltd (ASX: SLC) or Macquarie Telecom Group Ltd (ASX: MAQ).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Dateline, Karoon Energy, Lindian, and PEXA shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Share Fallers

These were the worst-performing ASX 200 shares in March

These shares were out of form in March. Let's see why investors sold them off.

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, New Hope, Santos, and St George Mining shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Share Fallers

These 3 dirt-cheap ASX shares are tipped to climb another 50-90%

These shares are now trading at super low prices.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, Brainchip, Catapult, and Star Entertainment shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why>

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Hub24, Syrah, and Weebit Nano shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Share Fallers

These 3 ASX 200 shares have hit fresh multi-year lows: Buy, sell or hold?

One of these stocks has crashed over 50% over the past year alone.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Brazilian Rare Earths, L1 Group, Silver Mines, and Xero shares are dropping today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »