This retailer could be the next Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX:LOV)

The share price of Michael Hill International Ltd (ASX: MHJ) jumped despite a weaker market as brokers cast their verdict on the jeweller's move to close all of its Emma & Roe stores.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The share price of Michael Hill International Ltd (ASX: MHJ) jumped despite a weaker market as brokers cast their verdict on the jeweller's move to close all of its Emma & Roe stores.

The stock jumped 2.1% to 98 cents on Monday when the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index fell 0.2%.

The gain is particularly pleasing given that retail stocks like Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN), JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) and Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) have tumbled by more than 1%.

The positive sentiment towards Michael Hill has been helped by comments from Credit Suisse, which re-iterated its "outperform" recommendation on the stock.

The broker thinks it's a good move for management to close its remaining Emma & Roe stores following a strategic review. Michael Hill initially intended to keep six of these underperforming stores.

"We welcome the closure of the remaining Emma & Roe stores. While six stores were largely immaterial to group earnings, we were concerned that this small portfolio could still act as a distraction away from the core Michael Hill business," said Credit Suisse.

"To provide context, we were forecasting Emma & Roe to contribute less than 1% of group revenue in FY19. As such, we view the strategic prioritisation of the core business as sensible."

However, the closure of these stores will cost the group an extra $3.1 million in one-off costs on top of the $11.8 million to $13.9 million that management had flagged to exit the US and the Emma & Roe chain.

But that's a small incremental price to pay it if means management can rebase the business for the new financial year, and it isn't only Credit Suisse that's feeling upbeat about the retailer's future.

Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) is also reiterating its "outperform" call on the stock with a 12-month price target of $1.30 on top of the 5% plus dividend yield.

"MHJ offers compelling value at current levels. Without the distraction of the loss-making US and Emma & Roe businesses, MHJ has considerable scope to deliver on the growth potential in the core Michael Hill business if it can differentiate and excel in certain strategic competencies (e.g. omni channel, customer data and analytics, loyalty, and merchandise management)," said the broker.

However, not everyone is taken with the latest announcement from Michael Hill. Citigroup has downgraded the stock to "neutral" from "buy" as it believes the stock will struggle to outperform in the short term.

The broker is also not confident that management can generate medium-term earnings growth following the closure of all the Emma & Roe stores as it believes this brand was a key profit driver due to consumer's preference for fashion jewellery compared to fine jewellery.

This consumer trend is one of the reasons why Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV) has performed to strongly with the stock surging by over 200% over the past year when the top 200 stock index is "only" 9% in the black.

Michael Hill is hoping to follow Lovisa's share price path by following the latter's business strategy. Shareholders will be crossing their fingers tightly.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Super Retail Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

Woman smiles at camera at she buys greens from the supermarket.
Retail Shares

Could the Woolworths share price smash the market in 2025?

Let's see if things will be better for this supermarket giant's shares next year.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Overinvested in Woolworths shares? Here are two alternative ASX retail stocks

Woolworths shares have disappointed this year. I think there could be better retail stocks to buy right now.

Read more »

High fashion look. glamor closeup portrait of beautiful sexy stylish Caucasian young woman model with bright makeup, with red lips, with perfect clean skin.
Retail Shares

Why now could be a great time to buy this high-performing ASX retail stock

This ASX share could be a sparkling opportunity.

Read more »

Young couple at the counter of a hardware store.
Retail Shares

3 encouraging signs for Wesfarmers shares heading into 2025

There are reasons to be positive about Wesfarmers.

Read more »

A young woman wearing a silver bracelet raises her sunglasses in amazement, indicating positive share price movement in jewellery shares.
Retail Shares

This ASX 200 stock is down 22% from its highs, and the CEO is stocking up

Is this a shiny buying opportunity?

Read more »

A warehouse worker is standing next to a shelf and using a digital tablet.
Retail Shares

Is the Wesfarmers share price facing 'significant downside risk'?

2025 could prove trickier for Wesfarmers shares, this leading expert forecasts.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Invested $5,000 in Wesfarmers shares in 2021? Guess how much passive income you've earned

Passive income offers a big boost to the performance of Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

Woman checking out new iPads.
Retail Shares

Better ASX retail buy: Harvey Norman or JB Hi-Fi shares?

ASX retail showdown.

Read more »