Top broker tips 3 transport stocks to outperform as oil prices fall

The sharp drop in the oil price is lifting sentiment towards transport-related stocks. Here are that Credit Suisse thinks are well placed to outperform.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Shares in transport-related companies are outperforming the market as the price of crude oil posted a big fall in overnight trade on anticipation that more supply is about to hit the market.

While the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index slipped 0.5% in afternoon trade, the share prices of Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN), Brambles Limited (ASX: BXB) and Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) are heading in the opposite direction.

These companies are directly impacted in a negative way by high oil prices, but investors shouldn't worry if the crude price were to stop falling as the impact on some in the sector may not be as large as feared, according to Credit Suisse.

The broker thinks that logistics group Brambles is a case in point with the stock performing poorly since management highlighted growing cost pressures on its operations.

But Credit Suisse thinks this is an "attractive entry opportunity" to the stock and it has slapped an "outperform" rating on Brambles with a price target of $10.25 a share.

"Lumber and transport costs are now running at +41% YoY [Year-on-Year] and +8% YoY, respectively, higher than at December 2017 (lumber: +9%; transport: +6%)," said Credit Suisse.

"We think the impact will be more severe for BXB's competitors (PECO and Whitewood) due to their lower scales and weaker margins than BXB."

Airline Qantas is another the broker is bullish on and its recent code sharing agreement with Air France has given Credit Suisse another reason to urge investors to buy the stock with a price target of $7.15 a share.

Coincidentally, a survey by UBS is also pointing to more blue skies ahead for our national carrier. The broker interviewed just over 2,000 Australian business and leisure travellers and found that most were planning on increasing their travel spend for the rest of 2018.

Business travel is expected to grow faster at around 9% YoY, while leisure is tipped to grow by 5% YoY.

Meanwhile, poorly performing rail operator Aurizon Holdings Ltd (ASX AXJ) also represents a good buy in Credit Suisse's book.

The stock has been underperforming on news that BHP Billiton Limited (ASX: BHP) is thinking about cutting its 4-5 million tonne coal-haulage contract with Aurizon.

"We think BHP is unlikely to revise down contract volumes due to exclusivity (BHP precluded from passing contracted volumes to AZJ's competitors) and the 2-year notice period required to revise down volumes," explained the broker.

Credit Suisse has an "outperform" recommendation on the stock with a $4.85 price target.

There's another sector that the experts at the Motley Fool believes will outperform the market in 2018.

Click on the free link below to find out what this sector is and the stocks that are best leveraged to this emerging boom.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited and Brambles Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Transurban Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »