Why I rate CogState Ltd shares a speculative buy

CogState Ltd (ASX:CGS) is an under-the-radar small cap that may gain attention soon enough.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This morning cognitive science business CogState Ltd (ASX: CGS) revealed that revenue for the quarter ending March 31 2018 hit US$8 million, which is up 33% on the prior quarter. The company also boasted it signed US$8.3 million in new sales contracts over the quarter and that total contracts signed were worth US$29.9 million over the first 9 months of financial year (FY) 2018,  which is already ahead of the US$29.5 million posted in the whole of FY 2017.

Cogstate also reaffirmed guidance for "improved earnings" over the second half of FY 2018 as its key financial metrics continue to trend in the right direction for investors over the medium term.

The group is a leader in brain function testing trials that help large pharmaceutical companies measure the effectiveness of potential new treatments for common cognitive ailments such as Alzheimer's or Parkinson's disease.

As such it's in a niche sector but that shouldn't put off small-cap enthusiasts as the sector has some tailwinds as healthcare research and spending tends to grow over the long term.

The company is also just about tipping into profitability with an operating cash inflow of US$1.5 million for the most recent quarter, backed up by a decent balance sheet of no debt and a cash balance of $5.7 million.

The kicker is that the valuation looks reasonable especially in comparison to more popular healthcare juniors on the local market such as Nanosonics Ltd (ASX: NAN) or Medical Developments International Ltd (ASX: MVP).

Cogstate's market value at 84 cents is only $96 million based on 114.2 million shares on issue as at June 30, 2017. As such it trades on not much more than 2x annualised FX-adjusted revenues ,with potential to grow and earn decent profits into the future. As a small-cap punter you can't ask for much more than that and at 84 cents I'd rate the shares a spec buy for investors prepared to take on more risk in pursuit of higher returns.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Nanosonics Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »