The a2 Milk Company Ltd (Australia) share price is falling before its November update

The a2 Milk Company Ltd (Australia) (ASX:A2M) share price could be volatile on its next trading update around November 21.

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Shares in a2-only-protein baby formula and supermarket milk supplier a2 Milk Company Ltd (Australia) (ASX: A2M) have given up 2 per cent today, despite the company releasing no price sensitive news to the market.

Still, a2 Milk shares have rocketed 329% over just the past year largely on the back of the group's accelerating infant formula sales into China where EBITDA lifted from $9.2 million to $32.7 million over FY 2017. Revenues in China also grew from $38.2 million to $88.9 million as investors continue to bet heavily on sustainable growth in the region.

The business reports in NZ dollars and shares currently change hands for 65x trailing earnings with the stock trading  on around 41x analysts' estimates as to FY 2018's earnings per share.

If these forecasts prove too optimistic on the basis of slower-than-expected top-line or margin growth the stock could be in for a big fall. The next trading update is likely to be at the November 21 AGM.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson owns shares in a2 Milk Co. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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