Why The Global Asset Bubble is Not Yet Ready to Burst

Since the end of the global financial crisis, asset prices have delivered significant growth. For example, in the last eight …

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Since the end of the global financial crisis, asset prices have delivered significant growth. For example, in the last eight years the S&P 500 has risen by 140%. Similarly, property prices across the world have generally risen.

The catalyst for asset price growth has been an ultra-loose monetary policy environment. Interest rates in the developed world have fallen to historic lows, while quantitative easing programmes have improved economic performance and caused sentiment among businesses, consumers and investors to improve.

Favourable conditions

The favourable monetary policy conditions of recent years are showing little sign of coming to a close. In the US, for example, interest rates have risen a couple of times following the end of the monthly asset repurchase programme implemented by the Federal Reserve. However, with inflation remaining stubbornly low, continued interest rate rises seem unlikely, and this could create yet more asset price growth in the US and global economies.

Similarly, in the UK and Eurozone, low interest rates could be set to stay over the medium term. Concerns surrounding Brexit remain high, with negotiations between the UK and EU moving along at a relatively slow speed and there being significant uncertainty as to what will happen from an economic perspective when Brexit takes place. Therefore, policymakers seem unlikely to risk stifling the economic performance of the region and may elect to maintain an accommodative monetary policy in the next few years.

It's a similar situation in China, where government stimulus has helped its economy to become one of the fastest-growing major economies in the world. With the country transitioning towards a more consumer-focused economy which relies less on infrastructure spending, it seems likely that policymakers will seek to make the move as frictionless as possible.

Benefitting from asset price growth

With the outlook for asset prices being relatively strong, it may be prudent for Foolish investors to seek out high-quality companies trading at fair prices. Certainly, stock markets across the globe are trading close to all-time highs, but there are still likely to be a number of stocks which could offer high growth at a reasonable price.

Certainly, a higher inflation rate looks set to become a reality in future years. Spending levels in the US could increase if Trump's tax and spending plans come to fruition. This could cause the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and this could slow down the rate of asset price growth and dampen economic activity. Similarly, quantitative easing in the Eurozone may come to an end, while in the UK the current high level of inflation may prompt an interest rate rise.

However, these events may be some distance away. In the meantime, investor sentiment remains buoyant and it would not be a major surprise for the S&P 500 and other indices to post new record highs over the medium term.

Motley Fool contributor Motley Fool Staff has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »