This reporting season loser is looking like a FY18 winner

Confidence towards Boral Limited (ASX:BLD) has been dented during the reporting season but this laggard is worth buying. Here's why…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The market didn't like what Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) had to say during last month's reporting season with the share price shedding around 3% to $6.62 on Friday.

It's not anywhere close to being the worst performer of the reporting season – just look at Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd. (ASX:DMP) or Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) – but sentiment towards this high flyer has clearly been dented!

Investors weren't impressed enough with the good growth in its Australia business and the better-than-consensus forecast increase in net profit of 9% to $342.7 million (consensus had pencilled in $315 million) as Boral's US businesses failed to deliver the goods.

It's a glass half empty view, but I can sympathise as Boral is priced for near perfection with a FY17 price-earnings multiple of around 19 times. Stocks that trade on a market premium can expect to be punished for every blemish on their report card.

But those willing to take a medium to longer-term view on the stock should put Boral on their radar. Despite its shortcomings, I think the stock is still well placed to outperform in the current financial year.

For one, Boral provides good US exposure. I believe US building activity will be strong over the next 12 months or longer (in part due to the rebuilding of cities and towns in Texas following Hurricane Harvey) and that the US dollar will start to regain ground against the Aussie, which provides the stock a double tailwind when earnings are translated back into Australian dollars.

Further, the outlook for Boral also looks pretty positive. While no specific guidance was given, management is expecting growth across all its divisions and said that it is targeting synergies of more than US$100 million by year four of its acquisition of US business Headwaters.

It is pleasing to note that more growth can be extracted from its local operations too given its solid FY17 performance, which is one of the key reasons behind the stronger-than-expected profit result (the other being a lower tax rate, which the market understandably didn't warm to very much).

Another thing that should add confidence about Boral's outlook is commentary from brokers following the soft result. The major brokers who had a "buy" call on the stock before the result have reiterated their bullish recommendations on the stock and Credit Suisse has gone a step further by upping its price target on Boral to $7.30 a share from $7.05.

I suspect investors won't have to wait long to see more positive news coming from management either.

Looking for another great buy idea? The experts at the Motley Fool have uncovered an interesting little gem. Click on the free link below to find out what this stock is.

Motley Fool contributor BrenLau owns shares of Boral Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »