Why the Commonwealth Bank of Australia share price is falling

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) share price has fallen 2.6% following the release of its third quarter financial update.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price has fallen 2.6%  following the release of its third quarter financial update.

Here are the key takeaways from CBA's brief market update:

  • Cash profit was $2.4 billion, up from $2.3 billion last year
  • Deposit funding was 67%, up from 64%
  • Regulatory capital ratio came in at 9.6%, versus 10% last year
  • The bank grew above-average in home and business lending

Commonwealth Bank's trading update comes on the back of the financial reports from each of its peers, including National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ).

While CBA's trading update is nothing more than a look at the hood — that is, it's not even enough to be a 'look under the hood' — there were some noteworthy figures in today's update.

For example, it was pleasing to see the bank's increased CET 1 capital ratio. This is a measure of a bank's regulatory capital buffer against market shocks.

Currently, each of the major banks is bracing for further increases in the requirement to hold capital. By holding more capital now CBA is potentially lessening the blow when changes finally arrive.

Also pleasing was the fall in CBA's loan impairment expense, which fell to 0.11% of all loans, down from 0.17% last half. Lower impairment expenses mean that fewer customers are already behind on repayments.

However, looking ahead, to what causes loan impairment expenses to arise; the percentage of CBA's home loan customers falling more than 90 days behind on their repayments has increased to 0.57% of all loans, as can be seen in this graph.

CBA bad debts
Source: CBA March Trading Update, 2017

The bank attributed the result to weaker conditions in Western Australia.

Another concern may be a potential fall in profit margins. The bank alluded to margin pressures, citing competition and funding.

"Net interest income growth (pcp) supported by volume growth in key markets, offsetting margin pressures," the bank's update read.

Should you buy CBA shares?

If there are two things to take from recent bank results, it is that competition is only getting fiercer and the banking system has plenty of headwinds (e.g. competition, rising funding costs, increased regulatory pressures and slowing house prices), in my opinion. 

Altogether, it means investors should demand a healthy discount on the value of bank shares, before buying. In other words, given all the risks, you should buy bank shares for significantly less than what they are worth to compensate for the potential downside. In my opinion, CBA shares are expensive. Therefore, I am not a buyer at today's prices.

Motley Fool Contributor Owen Raszkiewicz does not have a financial interest in any company mentioned. Owen welcomes and encourages your feedback. You can follow him on Twitter @OwenRask. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »