Results in: Is Amcor Limited a buy at this share price?

Amcor Limited (ASX:AMC) shares will be one to watch this morning after the packaging giant released its half-year results. Is it a buy or best avoided?

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The shares of packaging giant Amcor Limited (ASX: AMC) will be ones to watch this morning following the release of a mixed half-year result.

Here are the key takeaways from the release:

  • Revenues from ordinary activities were down 1.8% on the prior corresponding period to US$4,467.3 million.
  • First-half statutory net profit after tax was down 6.2% to US$286.6 million.
  • First-half profit after tax but before significant items increased 1% to US$308.6 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share of 24.5 U.S. cents, down 5% on the prior corresponding period.
  • Interim dividend of 19.5 U.S. cents per share, payable 24 March 2017.
  • Guidance unchanged for moderate full-year profit before interest and tax growth.

What happened?

Whilst Amcor's Rigid Plastics business disappointingly saw profit before interest and tax drop by 6.5% to US$143.5 million, pleasingly the strong performance of its Flexibles segment saved the day.

Profit before interest and tax in that segment rose 5.3% to US$373 million thanks to a combination of growth from organic sources and recently acquired businesses.

Playing a key role in the drop in overall profits was the strong U.S. dollar. It had a negative impact on Amcor's profit after tax after translating non-U.S. dollar earnings into U.S. dollars for reporting purposes.

So although the company posted a reasonably sharp decline in first-half statutory net profit after tax, on a constant currency basis profit after tax was up 3.8% and earnings per share increased 4.6% over the prior corresponding period.

Further, after adjusting for its Venezuelan write-downs, earnings per share growth is even higher at 12% year-on-year.

Is it a buy?

Although I expect the market will focus on its constant currency result rather than the statutory figure, I prefer to look at the latter of the two.

Based on that particular result I wouldn't class Amcor as a buy today, especially when its similarly valued spin-off Orora Ltd (ASX: ORA) has been producing double-digit earnings growth.

At 19x trailing earnings Amcor looks a little on the expensive side after today's result, even with its defensive qualities.

So right now I would avoid Amcor and consider an investment in Orora instead. I believe it has far greater growth prospects and that its shares come at a much fairer price.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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