Which fund manager will perform best in 2017?

Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX:MFG) is one of four fund managers to consider in 2017.

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One of the easiest ways for investors to gain leverage to the share market is by investing in a fund manager.

These businesses are usually very attractive as they are easily scalable and operate on very healthy margins.

Fortunately for Australian investors, the ASX has a number of well known fund managers that also provide exposure to a number of different markets around the world.

Some of the best known managers are highlighted in the table below (figures sourced from CommSec and company reports):

 Company Market Capitalisation P/E Ratio Dividend Yield 5-Yr Total Shareholder Return
Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG)
 $4.1 billion  20.6  3.7%  78.9%
BT Investment Management Ltd (ASX: BTT)
 $3.3 billion  18.9  4.2%  48.5%
Platinum Asset Management Limited (ASX: PTM)
 $3.1 billion 16.1 5.9%  15.3%
Perpetual Limited (ASX: PPT)
 $2.3 billion  17.7  5.1%  24.6%

 

Company  FUM Operating Margin Employee expense ratio Main Geographic Exposure
Magellan Financial Group Ltd (ASX: MFG)
 $44.9 billion  77.8%  58.8% North America
BT Investment Management Ltd (ASX: BTT)
 $84 billion  39.9%  76.6% Australia & UK
Platinum Asset Management Limited (ASX: PTM)
 $23.1 billion  81.9%  49.6% Asia and Europe
Perpetual Limited (ASX: PPT)
 $30.7 billion  36.0%  54.2% Australia

One important factor that is not highlighted in the tables above is the key-person risk. This is most likely to be an issue for Magellan and Platinum as both companies are still founder-led.

Another important point to consider when it comes to investing in fund managers is the trend of their funds under management (FUM). In this case, Magellan and BT are the clear winners with both managers enjoying buoyant fund inflows over the past couple of years. Unfortunately, the same can't be said for Platinum and Perpetual, who have both struggled to attract new inflows resulting from lengthy periods of underperformance.

Is there a clear buy?

From the table above, there doesn't appear to be any short-term bargains.

Although Platinum and Perpetual trade on fairly conservative earnings multiples and attractive dividend yields, I would be inclined to wait on the sidelines until they begin to deliver an uptrend in fund inflows. Until this occurs, it will be extremely difficult for either company to boost their bottom line.

Magellan and BT on the other hand are far more attractive businesses, but I believe this is appropriately reflected in their higher valuations. As a result, I would be inclined to wait for a pull-back in the share price before loading up the truck with shares.

Motley Fool contributor Christopher Georges owns shares of BT Investment Management Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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