The Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) share price has fallen an enormous 34% since its peak in early 2015.
In fact, in 2016 alone shares of Australia's fourth largest bank have fallen 13%.
What's going on?
ANZ Banking Group has the largest exposure to Asia of any Australian retail bank. Former CEO Mike Smith's 'Super Regional' goal was to generate as much as 30% of revenue outside Australia and New Zealand.
So during 2015, when intense volatility engulfed Chinese share markets, ANZ Banking Group shares were hit harder than its domestic focused rivals like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC).
At the time, each of the banks, including ANZ, were dealing with potential regulatory changes associated with how risks against mortgages were accounted for. They also conducted huge capital raisings needed to up their buffer against market crashes.
Moreover, in 2016, it is evident house prices have begun to cool off, competition from regional lenders is intensifying and small increases in bad debt charges have the market spooked.
Is ANZ Banking Group a SELL?
According to the 17 analysts surveyed by Reuters, the consensus recommendation is a 'Hold' on ANZ Banking Group shares. Only two have a sell rating.
Foolish takeaway
Investors should take analyst recommendations with a pinch of salt. Indeed, it's vital — especially if you're investing long-term — to do your own due diligence. That doesn't mean spending weeks researching the banking sector and running a 20-page Excel valuation model.
Just reading the broker's report or ANZ's annual report will provide you comfort in times of share price stress because you'll have a better understanding of the risks.
In my opinion, ANZ may not be a clear sell at today's prices, however, it may be wise to hold off buying any bank shares until the end of 2016.
