Why investing in 'Unicorn' tech startups is a dangerous way to make money

1-Page Ltd (ASX:1PG) and Freelancer Ltd (ASX:FLN) are both soaring in price.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

In a 2010 interview with Business Insider, Mark Zuckerberg, founder and CEO of social media giant Facebook said:

"We used to write this down by saying 'move fast and break things.' And the idea was, unless you are breaking some stuff you are not moving fast enough."

Today, more and more companies around the world are living up to this notion with many changing the landscapes of entire industries as we know them (some are even creating new industries).

Indeed, entrepreneurs have made fortunes from investing in these companies that may not seem like much initially, but seemingly grow exponentially in value overnight. Some of these companies are even being referred to as 'Unicorns', which Wikipedia defines as:

'A recently introduced term in the investment industry, and in particular the venture capital industry, which denotes a start-up company whose valuation has exceeded (the somewhat arbitrary) $1 billion dollars.'

They're not as rare as they used to be, either. Companies such as Uber and SpaceX (founded by Elon Musk) are on the list of these so-called 'Unicorns', as is Atlassian which is currently Australia's one and only.

For all the companies that have officially been deemed 'Unicorns' however, there are many more aspiring to make the list, and therein lies the danger for investors.

Why investing in Unicorns is a dangerous way to make money

New technology can be extremely exciting. The innovation that goes into it is also important and could well be a defining factor in the strength of the Australian economy in the future.

But investors can also fall into the trap of simply assuming these companies are bound for success, sometimes not even considering the risks that come attached.

Take 1-Page Ltd (ASX: 1PG). Shares of the human resources business are up no less than 1,270% over the last 12 months. The company boasts a market value of almost $700 million, despite reporting revenue of just $158,000 in the six months to 31 July 2015.

For the sake of full-disclosure, I currently own shares in 1-Page because I believe what it is offering could become a very valuable tool for corporations in the future. It could even go on to rival the likes of SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK) and LinkedIn if everything goes according to plan.

I'm not saying the shares are over- or undervalued, but I am saying it's risky — the company will certainly need to grow its revenues substantially to justify its current price tag.

Then there's Freelancer Ltd (ASX: FLN), the freelancing and crowdsourcing marketplace. Freelancer has also recorded tremendous growth in the number of registered users and total projects posted to the site, and is another company that could have a very promising future.

But while there are reasons why both 1-Page and Freelancer could still be reasonable buys today, investors also need to keep in mind that these companies – and other tech groups aspiring for massive growth – are by no means guaranteed to succeed.

Case in point…

The Australian Financial Review recently highlighted another Unicorn named Theranos, which is reportedly worth US$9 billion. The company claims to have the technology to carry out comprehensive testing for hundreds of medical conditions using tiny samples of blood, rather than drawing blood with a needle.

Technology like that sounds exciting and, if it worked, could justify the company's price tag. But instead, Theranos' business model and processes have been called into question which could result in a massive devaluing of the company if proven to be true.

Indeed, some technology companies will produce truly incredible innovation and produce enormous returns for shareholders. But at the same time, investors need to remain sceptical and never fall into the trap of assuming they should be bought for easy money. By no means will that always be the case.

Our parent company owns shares of Facebook. Motley Fool contributor Ryan Newman owns shares of 1-Page Ltd, LinkedIn and Facebook. Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. You can follow Ryan on Twitter @ASXvalueinvest. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »