Why I'm not buying into Westpac Banking Corp's capital raising

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX:WBC) is raising $3.5 billion at a steep discount to current prices, in the face of falling house prices and profitability, and increased banking regulation.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) today announced it'll raise $3.5 billion in capital from shareholders.

To counter increased banking regulation, Westpac says it will give all shareholders the opportunity to acquire 1 share for every 23 normal shares they currently hold, at $25.50. That's 16.2% lower than yesterday's closing price and an enormous 36% discount to its yearly high achieved in April.

Westpac says the money raised will add 1% to the bank's required regulatory capital ratio (known as CET1). It says once the capital raising is complete, its balance sheet will be within the top quartile of banks globally.

Unfortunately, following recent changes by APRA (the banking regulator) to raise the risk applied to certain mortgages, Westpac plans to increase its "variable home loan (owner occupied) and residential investment property loan rates by 20 basis points [0.2%]."

That's bad news for anyone who has a variable interest rate mortgage or investment property loan with Westpac. In fact, it's almost equivalent to an official interest rate increase by the Reserve Bank! The new rates take effect from 20 November 2015.

To try and allay investors' concerns Westpac has released some unaudited profit results ahead of schedule. For Westpac's 2015 financial year, cash profits were up 3%, with a return on equity (ROE) down 0.57% and profits per share up 2%.

Unsurprisingly, Westpac says any new shares issued as part of its $3.5 billion capital raising will not receive the final dividend, expected to be 94 cents per share – up 2% from last year.

Are you buying in?

Earlier this week, Fairfax Press noted a research report from analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) who forecast Australian house prices to fall by 7.5% in the next two years.

It cited oversupply issues, weak population growth and a slowing economy as reasons to believe a downturn in property could last longer than what we've become accustomed to in recent decades.

Therefore, investors who chose to buy into Westpac's heavily discounted capital raising could be taking bigger risks than it appears on first glance.

In my opinion, increasing regulation, falling profitability, a low point in the bad debt cycle, slower growth in credit markets and a heightened chance that the major banks will cut their dividends, mean none of the big bank stocks are a buy today.

Motley Fool contributor Owen Raskiewicz has no position in any stocks mentioned. Owen welcomes your feedback on Google plus (see below), LinkedIn or you can follow him on Twitter @ASXinvest. Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »