The investor's guide to AusNet Services

AusNet Services' 2015 annual report shows a drop in profits of 87%. But why?

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AusNet Services' (ASX: AST) net profits dropped 87% in the past 12 months. As an investor it's important to know why.

Ausnet Services, formerly SP AusNet, is engaged in the diversified energy infrastructure business.

The company operates in four segments of Electricity distribution, Gas distribution, Electricity transmission and Select Solutions. The electricity distribution network carries electricity from the high voltage transmission network to end users. The gas distribution network carries natural gas to commercial and residential end users. Electricity transmission segment is engaged in the transmission of electricity within the state of Victoria. Select Solutions provides metering, data and asset management solutions, including integrated mobile and spatial technologies, to external parties as well as to all other segments of the company.

Not a great year for AusNet

It's fair to say, it hasn't been a great year for AusNet. In the 12 months to March 31, AusNet posted a net profit of $22.6 million, an 87% decline on the 2014 $178.3 million profit.

Notes in the annual report tell us that a number of one-off items affected net profits this year:

  1. Recognition of a provision for AMI customer rebates of $32.5 million for the year ended 31 March 2015
  2. $50 million payable for the termination of the Management Services Agreement (MSA)
  3. $22.2 million of performance fees under the MSA
  4. $7.7 million in restructuring costs associated with the Termination Deed for the year ended 31 March 2014

Other items included:

  1. $183.3 million in income tax expense for the settlement with the ATO in relation to the intra-group financing audit for the year ended 31 March 2015
  2. $84.1 million recognition of net exposure relating to Intellectual Property dispute with the ATO for the period ended 31 March 2015
  3. A net charge of $86.7 million for the amount potentially payable in respect of the Section 163AA dispute for the year ended 31 March 2014.

In this same year that the company posted this net profit of $22.2 million, AusNet will still pay a final 60 per cent franked dividend of 4.18c per share, which brings the group's full-year distribution to 8.36c per share.

So it would seem that 2015 was an anomaly for the company. To be fair to AusNet, let's take a look at the annual reports for the the last four years.

Revenues

Revenues appear to be growing steadily.

Amounts in Millions 2012 2013 2014 2015
  1,535 1,639 1,779 1,833

Net profits

Net profits have been inconsistent and 2015 was impacted by the issues outlined above.

Amounts in Millions 2012 2013 2014 2015
  255 279 178 22

Debt to Equity

Debt is increasing, while equity has remained steady. This is why the debt-to-equity ratio is very high.

Amounts in Millions 2012 2013 2014 2015
Debt 4,538 5,277 6,069 7,216
Equity 2,927 3,432 3,444 3,248
Net Debt/Equity Ratio 155% 154% 176% 222%

Cash flows

Free cash flows have been negative for the past four years, but the company continues to pay dividends.

Amounts in Millions 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cash flow from Operations 430 568 730 767
Capex (691) (1077) (939) (786)
Free Cash Flow (260) (508) (209) (18)
Dividends (134) (214) (257) (179)
Funding Shortfall (395) (722) (466) (198)

Earnings per share (EPS)

Earnings per share are declining.

Amounts in cents 2012 2013 2014 2015
  9 8 7 2

Dividends per share (DPS)

Dividends per share has remained constant even though EPS has been declining.

Amounts in cents 2012 2013 2014 2015
8.0 8.2 8.4 8.4

Let's take at some other events in 2015.

18 June 2015

On June 18 2015 AusNet made the following announcement:

Ausnet Services Restructure Proposal Implemented

AusNet announced a new corporate restructure, under which a new company called AusNet Services Ltd would become the single head company of AusNet Services in place of its current triple-stapled structure.

23 July 2015

On July 23 2015 AusNet made the following announcement:

Request for Trading Halt

A trading halt was requested pending the outcome of the company's Annual General Meeting (AGM) and resolutions proposed at the AGM.

The outcome of the AGM was that, independent director, Tony Iannello, was sacked.

According to Bloomberg, voting numbers released showed that 1.16 billion shares were cast in favour of Iannello and 1.79 billion were voted against. Only 1.8 million votes abstained. Singapore Power owns 1.078 billion shares in AusNet and State Grid owns 689 million.

These actions mean that AusNet's ambitions to bid for the $9 billion NSW power grid owner TransGrid will most likely be shelved after its cornerstone shareholders Singapore Power and State Grid Corporation of China separately blocked an equity raising and voted the director leading the company's bid committee off the board.

TransGrid, was to be the first business to be sold in the NSW government's $30 billion "poles and wires" privatisation process.

Verdict

2015 just hasn't been a great year for AusNet. Yes, there have been some one-off items that have affected this year's profits but, there's just too much uncertainty around the company at the moment. That's why I'll be staying on the sidelines.

Motley Fool contributor John Hopkins has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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