Is DuluxGroup Limited a buy?

DuluxGroup Limited (ASX:DLX) is a boring but high-quality business.

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

DuluxGroup Limited (ASX: DLX) is a boring company. At its core it is a largescale manufacturer and distributor of paint operating in a mature industry. Shares in Dulux are not likely to double in a short space of time but they are likely to grind slowly higher over many years.

The strength of the company lies in the highly recognisable Dulux brand which affords the company significant pricing power. Dulux has the luxury of being able to increase its prices a few percent each year without risk of losing market share.

Further evidence of the value of the Dulux name is provided by the impressive margins that are achieved in its paint division. The Paints and Coatings ANZ division achieves earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins of more than 17% compared to less than 10% for Dulux's other businesses.

The Paints and Coatings ANZ business contributes around 73% to group EBIT before corporate costs and the Consumer and Construction Products ANZ contributes 12%, Garage Doors & Openers 5%, Cabinet & Architectural Hardware 3% and Other businesses 7%. Broadly speaking, Dulux's businesses are exposed to the home improvement industry and products are marketed through both trade and retail channels.

Part of management's strategy is to use existing distribution channels to grow sales of new product categories and this was part of the rationale for the substantial acquisition of Alesco in 2012 for $258 million. Whilst Dulux has been successful in cutting duplicate costs from the business, sales performance has mainly lagged the traditional paint business so far.

Management are still optimistic about the growth prospects for the Alesco group of operations but I am unconvinced. The acquired businesses sell things such as construction equipment, cabinet and window products and garage doors and openers. The economics of these items is inferior to paint where a single product can be applied to buildings of any shape and which must be used within a certain time frame once opened. Furthermore, painting is popular as an inexpensive and easy way to redecorate whereas a new garage door is tricky to install and is more of a one-off purchase.

The other key difference between Dulux's paint division and the rest is branding. As discussed earlier, the Dulux name enables the company to sell its paint at a premium and this does not extend to its other products.

Despite my misgivings about the Alesco acquisition, I believe that management is committed to improving the Dulux business over the long-term. Managing director Patrick Houlihan owns almost $14 million worth of shares in the company and CFO Stuart Boxer owns just under $4 million worth. The recent decision to build a new factory doubling existing capacity is an example of long-term decision making. The main benefits will not be realised until 2019 and the project will cost $165 million but it will help Dulux to continue to produce the highest quality paint in ever larger quantities for years to come.

Valuation

Unfortunately Dulux shares are not cheap today. Recently trading at $6.14, I have the stock on an enterprise value to earnings multiple of just over 23x based on my forecast underlying earnings for 2015 of $120 million. However, Dulux is a high quality company and so buying at today's prices is still likely to deliver decent returns over the long term. In the meantime, the stock pays a 3.5% fully franked dividend yield that compares favourably to current term deposit rates and is likely to rise in the future.

Foolish takeaway

DuluxGroup is a superior yet dull business with strong pricing power, focused management and low debt. At current prices, Dulux shares look a little expensive but the stock is still likely to perform well over the coming years. One question mark hanging over the business for me is how it will perform when Australia next has a recession. If the GFC is anything to go by then it will prove resilient, but I have a nagging suspicion that people put off home improvements during hard times, even cheap paint jobs.

To discover the name of an equally good company trading at cheaper prices then follow the links below…

Motley Fool contributor Matt Brazier has no position in any stocks mentioned. You can find Matt on Twitter @MatthewBrazier1. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »