Medibank Private Ltd falls to $2.02: Is it a buy?

Shares of Australia's largest private health insurer, Medibank Private Ltd (ASX:MPL) have underperformed the S&P/ASX200 (ASX:XJO) (Index:^AXJO) by around 17% in 2015.

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Following the most hyped initial public offering (IPO) of 2014, Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL) shares have slumped 16% in 2015, so far, to trade at just $2.02.

Underperforming the broader S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) by around 17% this year, Medibank actually met its prospectus forecasts but has been unable to appease investors who paid the equivalent of 20x 2015's profits per share, during the IPO.

Previously, one of our top analysts, Matt Joass, estimated the fair value for Medibank Private shares was around $2.08.

So, despite soaring to over $2.50 earlier this year then falling heavily, investors choosing to buy shares in Medibank today would likely not be getting a 'bargain'. Indeed, price and value are two different things.

As we said at the time, investors could've found better value in its smaller peer, NIB Holdings Limited (ASX: NHF). So far in 2015 NIB shares are up 3.5%.

Whilst Medibank's share price may climb higher in the near term, prudent value investors should keep that $2.08 figure in the back of their mind and try to purchase shares at a significant discount to it, ensuring they are indeed getting a 'bargain'.

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Motley Fool contributor Owen Raskiewicz owns shares of NIB Holdings Limited. Owen welcomes your feedback on Google plus (see below), LinkedIn or you can follow him on Twitter @ASXinvest. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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