Why Prophecy International Holdings Limited surged 13%

Prophecy International Holdings Limited (ASX:PRO) jumped to a 10-month high today. Here's why

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Junior software developer Prophecy International Holdings Limited (ASX: PRO) jumped to a 10-momth high today after management told shareholders to expect record results when it turns in its first half report card next month.

New software sales is expected to jump 85% for the six months to end December last year when compared to the same period in 2013 and the company's cash position is tipped to hit a multi-year high of $5.9 million.

Shares in Prophecy International surged 13.3% to 51 cents in afternoon trade.

The pleasing result is largely attributed to sales of its new security software, Snare, and management has declared a two cent interim dividend. If sustained, this would imply a yield of close to 8% before the potential of any franking credits.

Prophecy International has not paid taxes and cannot distribute franking credits, but the company said this will change for the first half of this financial year.

If the earnings momentum continues, it will mark a reversal of fortunes for Prophecy International as its 2013-14 net profit fell 28.5% to just over $900,000 due in large part to a $370,000 write-down in goodwill.

Shareholders will be keeping their fingers crossed that there won't be further write-downs given that the company still has a large intangible asset of around $3.5 million on its books.

What's more, the company doesn't "expense" development costs but "capitalises" this as part of its asset base. It's not uncommon for tech companies to capitalize such costs, although I would prefer to see this taken off the profit line instead as it is a more conservative accounting approach.

More importantly, capitalizing development costs means Prophecy International must maintain its sales growth or it would be forced to make further write-downs.

While the stock looks attractive on yield, it won't appeal to value investors given that it is trading on a 12-month trailing price-earnings (P/E) multiple of around 30 times. Even if we ignored the write-down, the stock would still be on a P/E of around 20 times.

That's not necessarily expensive if it can deliver robust full year growth, but Motley Fool has identified a more attractive option in the tech sector.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »