The stock picker's guide to Primary Health Care Limited in 2014

The earnings outlook is for up to 13% growth this year.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Primary Health Care Limited (ASX: PRY) operates medical and pathology centres in Australia where medical practitioners, specialists and healthcare providers conduct their practices. The $2.4 billion company has 87 medical centres and 782 collection centres in all mainland states.

Steady upward revenue and earnings growth

Since 2003 NPAT has risen from $12.5 million to $152 million as it has expanded its network. Just in 2013, NPAT grew 28.7% from $118.9 million. Analysts' forecasts project earnings per share growth to be an average compound 15.2% annually for the next two years.

Net profit margins have been improving, rising from 7.9% in 2011 to 10.31%. Margins are returning towards the high teens it had before the GFC.

High debt to net earnings

The company has a large amount of long-term debt, $1.07 billion, and although its gross gearing is not incredibly high, it is more than five times its 2013 NPAT of $152 million. Acquiring medical facilities may require higher borrowings, but if it can whittle debt down while growing NPAT to over $200 million, then that concern would disappear.

Extensive network

It is number two in the pathology services industry, holding about 32% of the market, second to Sonic Healthcare Limited (ASX: SHL), which has about a 41% market share. In addition to its medical centres, it also sells and supports health related software products for practitioners in their centres.

Outlook

Population growth, government assistance in healthcare legislation and acquisitions of more medical centres will impact the rate of future growth. The company's strategy is more geared toward organic growth and improvement of performance from economies of scale.

Guidance for 2014 is for EBITDA to be in the range of $395 million to $410 million, resulting in EPS growth of 7% – 13%.

Foolish takeaway

For comparison, it would be good for investors to review Sonic Healthcare since it is the market leader. For a wider view of healthcare companies, you should be familiar with Fisher and Paykel Healthcare Corp (ASX: FPH), Ansell Limited (ASX: ANN) and Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH).

Motley Fool contributor Darryl Daté-Shappard does not own shares in any company mentioned. 

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »